تحاليل اليوم 6/10

[راكان الطحاوي]

EUR/USD (1.2273)

New low is now expected below the 1.2250 level before a corrective rally can be seen. Ideal target for a low is the pivot support at 1.2240/30 with abreak of latter targetin 1.2165. Failure to break below that level would initiate a corrective rally with 1.2330 as minimum target, helped in that by probable bullish divergence. We will look to buy a rebound on 1.2240, meanwhile we stand aside.

Supports: 1.2250-1.2240-1.2225-1.2175-1.2130

Resistances: 1.2330-1.2380-1.2450

Market direction: Bearish

Recommendation: Stand aside



USD/JPY (111.32)

No change, immediate expectations are a break above 11.35/40 (currently key resistance) followed by a small wave 5 rally to 111.75. Look then for a possible top to form, followed by corrective pullback to 110.70. over the mid-term, 109.80 acts now as pivot. Stand aside.

Supports: 111.00-110.60-110.20-109.90-109.65-109.40

Resistances: 111.40-111.80-112.15-112.55

Market direction: Bullish

Recommendation: Stand aside



GBP/USD (1.7792)

Market currently trying to build a base, but there is still no evidence for rallies at the moment, we therefore switch to neutral-bearish. However, a sustained break above 1.7844 woould be the trigger for a corrective rally, with 1.8005 as target. Stand aside until bottom is confirmed.

Supports: 1.7800-1.7785-1.7740-1.7700-1.7640

Resistances: 1.7890-1.7920-1.7990-1.8010-1.8095

Market direction: Neutral-Bearish

Recommendation: Stand aside



USD/CHF (1.2665)

Market appears now ready for a 1.2700 (pivot resistance) challenge with a break there targeting 1.2725 and 1.2780. However, this is a wave 5 rally, and a top could be seen shortly - probably at 1.2700. A pullback with minimum target of 1.2600 should then be seen. We will look to sell failures at 1.2700, meanwhile we stand aside.

Supports: 1.2600-1.2555-1.2440-1.2370

Resistances: 1.2675-1.2780-1.2790-1.2865

Market direction: Bullish

Recommendation: Stand aside



AUD/USD (0.7218)

Market remains in a critical (and neutral) phase between 0.7190 and 0.7250. Look now for further neutral activity between those key levels with break of either side being the trigger for 1) sell-off to 0.7120 (expected) or 2) rally to 0.7350. Daily studies are deep in overbought territory and favor the downside. We stand aside.

Supports: 0.7195-0.7175-0.7150-0.7130-0.7110

Resistances: 0.7235-0.7270-0.7315-0.7350-0.7440-0.7535

Market direction: Neutral

Recommendation: Stand aside



USD/CAD (1.2652)

Market failed to break above the 1.2750 level and moved sharply lower towards 1.2600. Both intraday and daily studies are oversold but market seems unable so far to make any decisive move on the upside. Market is trading at the 10 years low levels. A break below the 1.2590 previous low would open way to further downside towards 1.2480. 1,2675 is key resistance. Stand aside.

Supports: 1.2590-1.2470-1.2405-1.2345

Resistances: 1.2705-1.2740-1.2780-1.2815-1.2850

Market direction: Bearish

Recommendation: Stand aside




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