راكان الطحاوي
12-10-2004, 01:56 AM
EUR/USD (1.2397)
Market remains capped in tight range due to Asian and US holidays today, and is now consolidating in front of key resistance at 1.2445. Two scenario can now be drawn: 1) (preferred) market consolidates to 1.2375 and rallies to 1.2475 or 2) a short-term top is seen and market corrects back to 1.2200 before rallying. We will play it secure and wait for a pullback to 1.2200 to buy, but aggressive traders can long at 1.2375, with a stop below 1.2320.
Supports: 1.2375-1.2340-1.2320-1.2285
Resistances: 1.2430-1.2445-1.2470-1.2490
Market direction: Bullish/Topping ?
Recommendation: Stand aside
USD/JPY (109.20)
After some consolidation seen, the 109.40 support finally gave way and market moved lower again. On the upside, 110.65 remains the big target, but interim resistance is seen at 109.75 and 110.05. People who bought our long at 109.40 recommendation should set the stop at 108.75 as daily charts speak for a low below the latter towards 108.20 & 107.00. Close at any failure ahead of 110.65. We stand aside.
Supports: 109.20-109.00-108.70-108.10-107.50
Resistances: 109.75-110.05/15-110.65-111.00
Market direction: Bearish/Bottoming ?
Recommendation: Stand aside
GBP/USD (1.7960)
As expected, market rallied higher and reached the very important resistance level at 1.7955, but without any follow through so far. We closed out long at 1.7955. The level 1.7975 remains our entry level to go short with target at 1.7840. On the upside, a break above 1.7990 would be very bullish for the pair and would open way to 1.8140 and 1.8190.
Supports: 1.7920/10-1.7875-1.7840/35-1.7735-1.7705
Resistances: 1.7965-1.7975/80-1.8005-1.8085-1.8140
Market direction: Bullish
Recommendation: Short 1.7975, SL 1.8020, target 1.7840
USD/CHF (1.2501)
Market sell-off has been capped by 65 so far before some rebound was seen. Look now for our former target 1.2535 to provide some resistance and probably be the maximum to the upside before further weakness to 1.2440 is seen. We will look to sell any bearish sign at 1.2535, meanwhile we stand aside.
Supports: 1.2465-1.2445-1.2400-1.2375-1.2300-1.2230
Resistances: 1.2515-1.2535-1.2565-1.2605-1.2645
Market direction: Bearish
Recommendation: Stand aside
AUD/USD (0.7348)
Market went easily through our key level at 0.7350, but appears to have ended a 5 wave rally, which speaks for a pullback to 0.7190. This level should then provide strong support for a rally to the 0.7600 level (we currently have a 0.7679 mid-term sell order). We will therefore switch to mid-term positions and buy a dip to 0.7190 with a stop below 0.7130 and a target at 0.7679.
Supports: 0.7285-0.7255-0.7190-0.7130-0.7100
Resistances: 0.7380-0.7410-0.7480-0.7680-0.7690
Market direction: Bullish
Recommendation: Long 0.7190, SL 0.7120, target 0.7678
USD/CAD (1.2540)
Difficult to predict as market always appears to be bottoming but continues lower and lower. Difficult to pick up a bottom in these conditions (we have 95% chances to be wrong), but important to know is that key resistance is now at 1.2560 and selling is advised while below that level. Next important support stands at 1.2385. We stand aside.
Supports: 1.2495-1.2400-1.2380-1.2320-1.2260
Resistances: 1.2540-1.2565-1.2585-1.2625
Market direction: Neutral
Recommendation: Stand aside
Market remains capped in tight range due to Asian and US holidays today, and is now consolidating in front of key resistance at 1.2445. Two scenario can now be drawn: 1) (preferred) market consolidates to 1.2375 and rallies to 1.2475 or 2) a short-term top is seen and market corrects back to 1.2200 before rallying. We will play it secure and wait for a pullback to 1.2200 to buy, but aggressive traders can long at 1.2375, with a stop below 1.2320.
Supports: 1.2375-1.2340-1.2320-1.2285
Resistances: 1.2430-1.2445-1.2470-1.2490
Market direction: Bullish/Topping ?
Recommendation: Stand aside
USD/JPY (109.20)
After some consolidation seen, the 109.40 support finally gave way and market moved lower again. On the upside, 110.65 remains the big target, but interim resistance is seen at 109.75 and 110.05. People who bought our long at 109.40 recommendation should set the stop at 108.75 as daily charts speak for a low below the latter towards 108.20 & 107.00. Close at any failure ahead of 110.65. We stand aside.
Supports: 109.20-109.00-108.70-108.10-107.50
Resistances: 109.75-110.05/15-110.65-111.00
Market direction: Bearish/Bottoming ?
Recommendation: Stand aside
GBP/USD (1.7960)
As expected, market rallied higher and reached the very important resistance level at 1.7955, but without any follow through so far. We closed out long at 1.7955. The level 1.7975 remains our entry level to go short with target at 1.7840. On the upside, a break above 1.7990 would be very bullish for the pair and would open way to 1.8140 and 1.8190.
Supports: 1.7920/10-1.7875-1.7840/35-1.7735-1.7705
Resistances: 1.7965-1.7975/80-1.8005-1.8085-1.8140
Market direction: Bullish
Recommendation: Short 1.7975, SL 1.8020, target 1.7840
USD/CHF (1.2501)
Market sell-off has been capped by 65 so far before some rebound was seen. Look now for our former target 1.2535 to provide some resistance and probably be the maximum to the upside before further weakness to 1.2440 is seen. We will look to sell any bearish sign at 1.2535, meanwhile we stand aside.
Supports: 1.2465-1.2445-1.2400-1.2375-1.2300-1.2230
Resistances: 1.2515-1.2535-1.2565-1.2605-1.2645
Market direction: Bearish
Recommendation: Stand aside
AUD/USD (0.7348)
Market went easily through our key level at 0.7350, but appears to have ended a 5 wave rally, which speaks for a pullback to 0.7190. This level should then provide strong support for a rally to the 0.7600 level (we currently have a 0.7679 mid-term sell order). We will therefore switch to mid-term positions and buy a dip to 0.7190 with a stop below 0.7130 and a target at 0.7679.
Supports: 0.7285-0.7255-0.7190-0.7130-0.7100
Resistances: 0.7380-0.7410-0.7480-0.7680-0.7690
Market direction: Bullish
Recommendation: Long 0.7190, SL 0.7120, target 0.7678
USD/CAD (1.2540)
Difficult to predict as market always appears to be bottoming but continues lower and lower. Difficult to pick up a bottom in these conditions (we have 95% chances to be wrong), but important to know is that key resistance is now at 1.2560 and selling is advised while below that level. Next important support stands at 1.2385. We stand aside.
Supports: 1.2495-1.2400-1.2380-1.2320-1.2260
Resistances: 1.2540-1.2565-1.2585-1.2625
Market direction: Neutral
Recommendation: Stand aside